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Polymarket wallet 0x118418e8af3a8441ea5e0268ad4ae8b6cb761b67 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Gullible-Context
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 933 | 73¢ → 43¢ | $397 | −$285 −42% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,323 | 36¢ → 8¢ | $99 | −$383 −79% |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $50 | +$3 +7.2% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 48¢ → 52¢ | $44 | +$3 +7.3% |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 160 | 74¢ → 16¢ | $25 | −$94 −79% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 213 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$21 −83% |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.