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Polymarket wallet 0x151ed845877d832e3cf4934efff871d2255534ae · on Polymarket since Dec 1, 2025 · also shown as Hairy-Nudge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +69% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +69% |
| Mavericks vs. NuggetsSettled - ready to redeem | Nuggets | 2 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Thunder vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 25 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.