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Polymarket wallet 0x2dc1b8d4f161766d32d1425a2794d176a17608e1 · on Polymarket since Nov 1, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,664 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $312 | −$1,065 −77% |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 421 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,411 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,090 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,282 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 523 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,879 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,700 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.