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Polymarket wallet 0x381c652bc062ce25fa3d2eab5afbcb2e6027dae1 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Grizzled-Essay
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $34 | −$5 −12% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 62¢ → 84¢ | $27 | +$7 +37% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +456% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −65% |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 892 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$357 −100% |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 299 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.