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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 69 | 27¢ → 12¢ | $8 | −$10 −55% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| US civil war before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 824 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $8 |
| 193d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $25 |
| 193d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SellYes34¢ | $34 |
| 194d | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BuyYes7¢ | $7 |
| 194d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 194d | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 194d | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $37 |
| 194d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $7 |
| 194d | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SellYes3¢ | $7 |
| 209d | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BuyYes27¢ | $19 |
| 209d | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BuyYes35¢ | $35 |
| 209d | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $35 |
| 209d | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $50 |
| 271d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes20¢ | $9 |
| 271d | US civil war before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $3 |
| 271d | US civil war before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $86 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.