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Polymarket wallet 0x3b8f22f6ceb02804bad42dd8bf0210cca8bc8cf8 · on Polymarket since Aug 8, 2025 · also shown as Misguided-Ruling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 327 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $321 | +$24 +8.3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $102 | +$2 +1.9% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.5% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.7% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 399 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 948 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$431 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 23 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.