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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$17 +112% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 16¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −68% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ | $15 |
| 152d | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $31 |
| 153d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $31 |
| 154d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $16 |
| 155d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 155d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyYes15¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.