LisanAl-Gaib.

Polymarket wallet 0x4a5cc36a269c37a0e413245f15d0a8b5a5c2bf5e · on Polymarket since Dec 8, 2025 · also shown as Coarse-Polo

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$1.3K
Volume traded: $55.7K
All-time rank: #3,072,895
Markets traded: 18
Recent hit rate: 28%5 of last 18 closed

Open positions

2 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3,136	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,507 −100%
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	282	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$98 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
232d	Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	BuyNo35¢	$98
252d	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$2,407
252d	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BuyNo78¢	$100
259d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes>99¢	$2,507
259d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes88¢	$2,210
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes85¢	$2,210
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes69¢	$1,780
260d	Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	SellNo40¢	$303
260d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellNo99¢	$1,159
260d	Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	SellNo42¢	$318
260d	Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	BuyNo43¢	$659
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellNo29¢	$659
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo35¢	$795
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes65¢	$408
260d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellNo99¢	$387
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes63¢	$396
260d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellNo99¢	$396
266d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo87¢	$145
269d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$300
269d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$100
269d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$300
272d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo72¢	$55
272d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo70¢	$40
272d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$40
273d	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SellYes16¢	$18
276d	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BuyYes18¢	$20
276d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo58¢	$10
278d	No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SellNo6¢	$8
282d	No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BuyNo8¢	$10
283d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo45¢	$263
283d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellYes60¢	$12
283d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellNo88¢	$40
283d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?	SellNo73¢	$100
283d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	SellNo51¢	$111
284d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo88¢	$40
284d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?	BuyNo73¢	$100
284d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$100
284d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyYes52¢	$10
284d	Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyNo69¢	$50
285d	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	SellYes13¢	$19
285d	Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	SellNo70¢	$362
285d	Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	SellNo69¢	$359
285d	Maduro mugshot released by Monday?	SellNo92¢	$679
285d	Maduro mugshot released by Monday?	BuyNo93¢	$690
285d	Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?	SellNo91¢	$301
285d	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	BuyYes13¢	$20
285d	US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?	SellYes4¢	$20
285d	Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	BuyNo70¢	$304
285d	Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?	SellNo92¢	$304
285d	Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?	BuyNo60¢	$98
285d	Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?	BuyNo59¢	$92
285d	Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?	BuyNo58¢	$200
285d	Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	BuyNo50¢	$25
285d	US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?	SellYes5¢	$25
286d	Maduro mugshot released by January 9?	BuyNo42¢	$232
286d	US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?	BuyYes10¢	$100
286d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	SellYes21¢	$45
286d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellYes13¢	$191
286d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	BuyYes28¢	$10
286d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$30

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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