Crowded-Sprout

Polymarket wallet 0x4d8a89d16700befb5402406cbd5add446448548c · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$1.88K
Volume traded: $366K
All-time rank: #3,108,817
Markets traded: 12
Recent hit rate: 43%3 of last 7 closed

Open positions

5 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,603	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,628	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,020 −100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	25,252	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,438 −100%
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26,919	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13,087 −100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5,718	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,144 −100%

Latest trades

last 56

When	Market	Bet	Size
147d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BuyYes9¢	$7
147d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BuyYes9¢	$805
157d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	BuyYes20¢	$9
157d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	BuyYes20¢	$1,171
162d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	BuyYes5¢	$83
163d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	BuyYes10¢	$1,655
212d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes22¢	$1,482
212d	US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	SellYes13¢	$497
221d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	SellYes22¢	$340
221d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	SellYes22¢	$242
221d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	SellYes23¢	$246
221d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	SellYes23¢	$45
221d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	SellYes23¢	$111
222d	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	BuyYes39¢	$1,020
222d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes56¢	$1,000
222d	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	BuyYes58¢	$1,000
222d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes54¢	$1,000
222d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes55¢	$1,000
222d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes53¢	$1,600
222d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes53¢	$1,000
222d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SellYes8¢	$7,620
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes63¢	$1,005
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes60¢	$1,000
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes60¢	$1,000
224d	US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BuyYes54¢	$1,000
224d	US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BuyYes52¢	$1,000
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes61¢	$1,000
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes60¢	$1,000
224d	Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BuyYes60¢	$1,000
224d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BuyYes46¢	$1,000
224d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BuyYes44¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,300
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,000
226d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes15¢	$1,600
226d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SellNo19¢	$3,658
227d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1,000
227d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1,000
227d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1,000
227d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1,000
227d	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BuyYes16¢	$1,000
227d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo27¢	$1,000
227d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo27¢	$1,000
227d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo27¢	$1,000
227d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo26¢	$1,000
227d	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BuyNo26¢	$1,000
229d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SellYes>99¢	$32,810
231d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyYes45¢	$812
231d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyYes22¢	$6,851
241d	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BuyYes51¢	$414
281d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyYes35¢	$4
281d	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BuyYes35¢	$170

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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