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Polymarket wallet 0x4fcd0f993bc357213e242c09f82559930f8bde5e · on Polymarket since Oct 23, 2025 · also shown as Unnatural-Instrumentation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,540 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $1,218 | +$448 +58% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $513 | +$9 +1.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 550 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $479 | −$1 −0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $458 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $453 | −$13 −2.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,540 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $322 | −$448 −58% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 350 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $317 | +$138 +77% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 350 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $310 | +$58 +23% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 277 | 89¢ → 12¢ | $32 | −$215 −87% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.