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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$20 +203% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$6 +64% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101d | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BuyYes61¢ | $11 |
| 101d | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BuyYes23¢ | $21 |
| 111d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,945 |
| 147d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $2,080 |
| 196d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo18¢ | $5 |
| 196d | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BuyNo32¢ | $10 |
| 215d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo14¢ | $20 |
| 215d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BuyNo33¢ | $10 |
| 250d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo60¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.