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Polymarket wallet 0x8ef5e507568f4c51ab480a718230c99b0d3e2c75 · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.