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Polymarket wallet 0x907b79c1907d929ebdeace3cd1d1f79f676d1668 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Suspicious-Gator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 210 | 48¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$89 −89% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyNo93¢ | $3 |
| 275d | Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-18? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 275d | Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 275d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes45¢ | $1 |
| 275d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes53¢ | $1 |
| 275d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 275d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $3 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $3 |
| 275d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes49¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.