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Polymarket wallet 0xb5f2d58b47eb3b9ce9c638affd1d70bdd2d8420f · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2025 · also shown as Flawed-Pressurization

Open on Polymarket ↗@Billion_soon ↗

CHANCE-9A1AC73F21B1A41D

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$501
Volume traded: $249K
All-time rank: #2,954,813
Markets traded: 261
Recent hit rate: 64%32 of last 50 closed

Open positions

94 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,998	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,499 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	984	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,969	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,958	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,979 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$950 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	590	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$295 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	20	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	591	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - December 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,250	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,125 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4,086	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,043 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	99	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,320	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,160 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,224	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,612 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - December 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	7	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	571	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$290 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,252	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,126 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,950 −100%
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	601	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$305 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	985	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$493 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	591	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	591	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	476	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$238 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,340	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,170 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,950 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	592	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)Settled - ready to redeem	West Indies	35	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	984	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,950 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	687	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$349 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	984	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$492 −100%
Solana Up or Down - December 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	8	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,944	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,972 −100%
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)Settled - ready to redeem	Sri Lanka	10	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	70	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3,900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,950 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,124	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,062 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,134	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,067 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4,218	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,109 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$296 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	98	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,230	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,115 −100%
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	591	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	4,255	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,128 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
221d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SellYes25¢	$79
246d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SellYes29¢	$6
247d	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes30¢	$100
257d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,043
258d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,044
259d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1,610
260d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1,612
260d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,112
260d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,115
261d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,116
262d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,062
262d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,067
262d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
263d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,120
264d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,120
264d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,122
265d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,059
265d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$50
265d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,125
265d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,126
266d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,109
266d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$18
266d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,076
266d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$50
267d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,078
267d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
268d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1,499
270d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,169
271d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,170
272d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2,170
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	SellDown50¢	$10
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	BuyDown51¢	$5
273d	XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$5
273d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1,979
274d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,160
276d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2,120
276d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$812
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$1,160
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$50
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$50
278d	Immunefi FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?	SellNo95¢	$96
278d	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SellNo95¢	$99
278d	Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SellNo97¢	$98
278d	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SellNo98¢	$99
278d	Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?	SellNo>99¢	$100
278d	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	SellNo99¢	$100
278d	Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SellNo>99¢	$100
278d	Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$50
278d	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SellNo63¢	$5
278d	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo64¢	$5
279d	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BuyNo96¢	$100
279d	Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BuyNo99¢	$100
279d	Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BuyNo>99¢	$100
279d	Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BuyNo99¢	$100
279d	Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SellNo97¢	$99
279d	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	BuyNo99¢	$100
279d	Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BuyNo98¢	$100
279d	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BuyNo99¢	$100

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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