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Polymarket wallet 0xc5c4df196bf3b0e74b42ca8f1af07049c1f72781 · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2026 · also shown as Meager-Sprag

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $274
All-time profit: −$134
Volume traded: $54.9K
All-time rank: #2,711,376
Markets traded: 37
Recent hit rate: 50%18 of last 36 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $274

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	3,241	31¢ → 8¢	$259	−$745 −74%
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	371	19¢ → 4¢	$15	−$56 −79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	435	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
151d	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	BuyYes20¢	$53
155d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BuyDown6¢	$27
158d	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	BuyYes17¢	$21
165d	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	BuyYes31¢	$1,004
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$8
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$2
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$10
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$5
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$4
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$10
171d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	SellYes98¢	$178
185d	Claude 4.7 released by April 17?	BuyNo24¢	$167
185d	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	SellYes42¢	$167
187d	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$161
188d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	BuyDown22¢	$10
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BuyDown56¢	$99
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	BuyDown30¢	$31
190d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes51¢	$563
190d	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	BuyYes49¢	$7
190d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	BuyDown40¢	$10
191d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	BuyUp24¢	$2
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	SellUp99¢	$23
192d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	BuyUp41¢	$10
193d	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	SellYes97¢	$570
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	SellUp3¢	$5
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	BuyUp8¢	$14
193d	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	BuyYes56¢	$328
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	SellUp99¢	$17
193d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	BuyUp57¢	$10
193d	US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	SellYes12¢	$335
199d	US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	BuyYes9¢	$250
234d	Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$1,831
235d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BuyYes3¢	$62
237d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SellYes92¢	$61
237d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$61
237d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	SellUp99¢	$1
237d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BuyUp75¢	$1
238d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SellUp20¢	$9
238d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	BuyUp11¢	$5
238d	Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes1¢	$10
238d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	SellYes15¢	$62
240d	US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BuyNo82¢	$1,497
245d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes72¢	$83
246d	Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes6¢	$51
246d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes72¢	$7
246d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes72¢	$13
246d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes72¢	$13
246d	Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes72¢	$64
249d	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BuyYes36¢	$150
252d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SellYes68¢	$1,884
253d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyYes31¢	$489
253d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$150
257d	Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	SellNo40¢	$592
258d	Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	BuyYes9¢	$100
258d	Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	SellYes11¢	$147
258d	Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?	BuyNo3¢	$71
258d	Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?	BuyYes15¢	$200
258d	Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	BuyNo50¢	$740
258d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes>99¢	$1,011
260d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes86¢	$871

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 36 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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