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Polymarket wallet 0xc7749af249bef3fcdb17532640ebbd06df5cca17 · on Polymarket since Dec 30, 2025 · also shown as Shimmering-Kindness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 991 | 57¢ → 9¢ | $84 | −$476 −85% |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 186 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 567 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 225 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 807 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 584 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.