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Polymarket wallet 0xcd2ca6ed42fec9d3ae0a8eed212ce7727a31a30e · on Polymarket since May 26, 2026 · also shown as Tremendous-Brass
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 24,000 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $3,180 | −$1,329 −29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,205 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 650 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$312 −100% |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,918 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,370 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,500 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$471 −100% |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,007 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.