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Polymarket wallet 0xcd4816b2a0695f589bba7dca9f5f0b1a427ece58 · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025 · also shown as Variable-Emotion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.1% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on December 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,305 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,445 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,076 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on April 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,072 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,097 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,843 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,057 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 44 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.