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Polymarket wallet 0xcfeb4c5feb349c86e6d9a22fcc33da19903a7263 · on Polymarket since Feb 6, 2026 · also shown as Ideal-Applause
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 70 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $62 | +$7 +13% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | No | 110 | 49¢ → 24¢ | $26 | −$28 −51% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 42¢ → 19¢ | $22 | −$28 −56% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.