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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308d |  AllByMyseIf | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,143 | +$43 +0.6% | 4 |
| 317d |  TylerTurden | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,102 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 331d |  TheWolfOfPoly | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 341d | TheWolfOfPoly3 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,090 | +$119 +1.7% | 4 |
| 343d | TylerTurden3 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,369 | +$308 +7.0% | 4 |
| 375d |  scottilicious | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,562 | −$319 −2.4% | — |
| 389d |  Minecraft | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$30 −2.8% | — |
| 393d |  DEGENKHAN | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,763 | −$127 −2.7% | — |
| 393d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,691 | +$1,691 +100% | — |
| 393d | horiz0n3 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $80,511 | −$1,405 −1.7% | — |
| 393d | scottilicious | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,710 | +$172 +1.3% | 4 |
| 394d | sdiff123 | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,712 | −$155 −1.8% | — |
| 395d |  mombil3 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,341 | −$118 −1.4% | — |
| 395d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | −$33 −1.3% | — |
| 398d |  reizo | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,016 | −$85 −1.4% | — |
| 398d |  ciro22 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,942 | −$90 −1.3% | — |
| 398d | inotice | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$22 −1.4% | — |
| 399d | LordMilesH4ter | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,627 | −$89 −1.3% | — |
| 399d | kanshifu | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,540 | −$60 −1.3% | — |
| 399d |  Kamala4Prison | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | −$33 −1.3% | — |
| 399d | clutchdaddy | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 399d | aviato | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | −$39 −1.3% | — |
| 399d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,024 | −$138 −1.1% | — |
| 399d |  Gr33d | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | −$19 −1.1% | — |
| 399d |  MLBksRETARD | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,589 | +$34 +0.6% | 4 |
| 400d | cqs2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 400d | Gerard69420 | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 400d | BowlOfPunch | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,765 | −$46 −1.0% | — |
| 400d |  RockyZet | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 400d | Sinnerfordinner | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$28 −1.3% | — |
| 400d |  MichaelJacksonn2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,447 | +$45 +1.0% | 4 |
| 400d | reizo | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,037 | +$64 +1.1% | 4 |
| 400d |  BustedCungly2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 400d | aviato | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | +$60 +1.2% | 4 |
| 400d | Eatpraylove2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,177 | +$323 +6.2% | 4 |
| 400d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | +$28 +1.4% | 4 |
| 400d | LordMilesH4ter | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,622 | +$94 +1.4% | 4 |
| 400d | Eatpraylove | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | −$29 −1.9% | — |
| 400d | Kamala4Prison | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$52 +2.0% | 4 |
| 400d | mombil2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,800 | +$200 +2.0% | 4 |
| 400d |  tourists5 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,617 | +$462 +3.2% | 4 |
| 400d |  duderr3 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,510 | +$156 +2.4% | 4 |
| 400d |  JJo2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $34,558 | +$1,588 +4.6% | 4 |
| 400d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,475 | +$493 +5.2% | 4 |
| 400d | horiz0n7 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $87,800 | +$10,655 +12% | 4 |
| 400d | Sinnerfordinner | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,094 | +$134 +6.4% | 4 |
| 400d |  betwick | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | −$400 −8.7% | — |
| 400d | ImJustKen2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,130 | +$1,234 +8.2% | 4 |
| 400d | Retired-Davis | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,324 | +$428 +9.9% | 4 |
| 400d |  nebuca | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 5 |
| 400d | JJo | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,014 | −$557 −11% | — |
| 400d | tourists | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,484 | −$1,276 −11% | — |
| 400d | szakal | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$88 +8.7% | 4 |
| 400d |  WordleAddict | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,170 | −$1,241 −11% | — |
| 400d | LBZone | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$132 +8.7% | 4 |
| 400d | desznaj | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 4 |
| 400d | newfoundpatience2 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $11,766 | +$11,766 +100% | — |
| 400d | sdiff123 | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$550 +12% | 4 |
| 400d |  TealV | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 4 |
| 400d | newfoundpatience8 fills | Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $16,228 | −$16,228 −100% | 24 |
quadraticdecay3 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Skye Valadez is the individual responsible for the shooting of Charlie Kirk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires one of the following: - Formal arrest or charging of Skye Valadez by a recognized law enforcement agency in direct connection with the shooting - Official statements by law enforcement naming him as the shooter or primary suspect - An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming him as the shooter or primary suspect. Any of the above will independently qualify, conviction is not required to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.