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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | 2117 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,192 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 199d | Eatpraylove32 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $128,215 | +$14,199 +11% | 20 |
| 199d |  shiepapito | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 200d | Doriath3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,396 | −$81 −1.8% | — |
| 200d |  lankysco | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,097 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 200d | Rutherford.B.Crazy | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,815 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 200d |  BeneGesseritVoice2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,835 | +$21 +0.4% | 20 |
| 200d |  doubleone22 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | −$134 −4.5% | — |
| 200d | weaklei2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,422 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 200d | Staplebreak | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,444 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 200d | Hakurei | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,051 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 200d | GCNO1 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,701 | −$43 −0.4% | — |
| 200d | uprightuser6 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $22,495 | +$4,731 +21% | 20 |
| 200d |  iutwpfal3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,732 | −$945 −14% | — |
| 200d |  aad99 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo100¢ | $2,723 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 200d | FlyingPlaty | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,076 | +$24 +0.4% | 20 |
| 201d | afdafdafdafdafd2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $16,313 | +$1,270 +7.8% | 20 |
| 201d | cocococococo | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo100¢ | $3,822 | −$19 −0.5% | — |
| 201d |  PeterGraham | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 201d |  Parz1vaI10 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $21,951 | +$2,671 +12% | 20 |
| 201d | fearthereaper7 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 201d | M2sx92kljs42 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 202d | Peruanoapostadorjose21098espanaperu2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,726 | −$95 −2.0% | — |
| 202d | flook | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 203d |  pup13 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,093 | −$606 −15% | — |
| 204d |  berboche2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,571 | −$129 −3.6% | — |
| 204d | m4rks | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$23 −1.6% | — |
| 204d | Renan2030 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 204d | rhondariver3782 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$16 +1.6% | 20 |
| 205d |  qizhan24 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $15,913 | −$2,648 −17% | — |
| 205d |  degensruletheworld2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,969 | −$1,002 −20% | — |
| 205d | GroundControl | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | −$34 −2.2% | — |
| 205d |  adonpoli2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,903 | +$107 +2.2% | 20 |
| 205d | lankysco | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$25 +2.4% | 20 |
| 206d | Matelleti2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,537 | −$163 −6.4% | — |
| 206d |  MettaWorldPeace002 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,518 | −$78 −2.2% | — |
| 206d | KrackenSruster | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,085 | −$115 −2.8% | — |
| 206d |  Big.Chungus3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $6,665 | −$1,356 −20% | — |
| 207d |  garlictrump | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,339 | +$61 +1.8% | 20 |
| 207d |  WongKimArk | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,009 | +$126 +2.1% | 20 |
| 207d | Peruanoapostadorjose21098espanaperu2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,876 | +$145 +3.0% | 20 |
| 207d | RolandChang3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,907 | +$224 +3.2% | 20 |
| 208d | mamai | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | −$49 −2.9% | — |
| 208d | Yalokin | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,027 | −$363 −3.0% | — |
| 208d | 89whytea89 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$27 −2.7% | — |
| 208d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,434 | +$186 +5.4% | 20 |
| 208d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $23,882 | +$5,954 +25% | 20 |
| 209d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,199 | −$259 −4.2% | — |
| 209d |  wbxxx | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | −$58 −4.2% | — |
| 209d |  cambridgeisaac3 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | −$149 −3.8% | — |
| 210d | existen | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,629 | −$69 −2.6% | — |
| 210d | 0x7a6c…5048 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$32 −2.6% | — |
| 210d | Joyce6668884 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,509 | −$215 −3.3% | — |
| 210d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,890 | +$1,884 +39% | 20 |
| 210d | 0x16e0…ad22 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$39 −3.8% | — |
| 210d |  Gohst | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | −$61 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | dube | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,267 | +$196 +8.6% | 20 |
| 210d | Mwhale4 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $18,689 | −$1,339 −7.2% | — |
| 210d | pup13 fills | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,569 | +$407 +8.9% | 20 |
| 210d | 0xfa39…977f | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
TheHebrewMan17,419 shares
bolt9ra5,199 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.