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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | +83 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| June 30, 2027 | 100% | +75 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 256d |
| December 31, 2027 | 100% | +71 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,379 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 38d | pelik3 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,838 | +$54 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | Evwo-Jaza | December 31, 2026 | SellYes100¢ | $3,031 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,108 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 38d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | June 30, 2027 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 38d | aviato | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,866 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,593 | +$46 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,855 | +$140 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 38d | GironaNite | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | +$48 +1.4% | 2 |
| 38d | RutionM | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$23 +1.6% | 2 |
| 38d | DOMOTO39 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$50 +1.7% | 2 |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,996 | +$1,106 +12% | 2 | |
| 38d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,906 | +$44 +1.5% | 2 |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,820 | +$180 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 38d | weatherprod | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,038 | +$216 +2.7% | 2 |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | −$66 −4.6% | — | |
| 38d | December 31, 2027 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$180 +6.4% | 2 | |
| 38d | 8dcc906a9b | December 31, 2026 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | −$124 −8.6% | — |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$102 +5.4% | 2 | |
| 38d | June 30, 2027 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$221 +14% | 2 | |
| 38d | June 30, 2027 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$364 +27% | 2 | |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$376 +38% | 2 | |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,370 | +$1,616 +37% | 2 | |
| 38d | outge3 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,067 | +$1,504 +37% | 2 |
| 38d | Evwo-Jaza4 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $26,970 | +$4,937 +18% | 2 |
| 38d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$424 +22% | 2 | |
| 38d | 8dcc906a9b3 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,709 | +$2,291 +26% | 2 |
| 38d | themmaguru | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,173 +72% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.