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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 0% | +21 pts | +8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 15 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,413 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  MrNFT | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  Cungly | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  Cheddar-Factory | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | ccc11ttx | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d | ccc11ttx | March 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,179 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 224d | yougotme3 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,050 | +$83 +0.1% | 4 |
| 224d |  scout2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,422 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 224d |  willsom | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,713 | +$44 +0.5% | 4 |
| 224d | yougotme | March 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,565 | +$42 +1.7% | 4 |
| 224d | Huevorotos | March 15 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 4 |
| 225d | Ziggazee | March 15 | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 4 |
| 225d |  Parz1vaI | March 15 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$591 −55% | — |
| 225d |  bamesjond | March 31 | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 4 |
| 226d |  Dropper | March 15 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | +$423 +32% | 4 |
| 226d |  Hamapo3 fills | March 15 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,338 | +$1,253 +38% | 4 |
| 229d | Parz1vaI | March 15 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$926 +47% | 4 |
| 230d | UptoberAD | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,243 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 230d | jackdolphin3232 | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,778 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 230d | bamesjond3 fills | February 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,541 | +$110 +2.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Carrylicious5 fills | February 28 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,557 | +$1,325 +8.5% | 4 |
| 230d | Hamapo2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$2,525 +85% | 9 |
| 230d | bamesjond | March 15 | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $2,033 | −$2,033 −100% | 8 |
| 231d |  ProfessionalPunter2 fills | March 15 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,435 | +$450 +13% | 4 |
| 231d | ProfessionalPunter2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,731 | +$185 +5.0% | 4 |
| 231d | Parz1vaI | February 28 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,067 | +$86 +4.2% | 4 |
| 231d | th2 | February 28 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,859 | +$1,318 +11% | 4 |
| 232d | CryptoJohnMax | February 28 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$655 +16% | 4 |
| 234d |  Poivre2 fills | February 28 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,631 | −$869 −24% | — |
| 234d |  crvAlex | February 28 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$216 −17% | — |
| 235d | simonxw | February 28 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$208 −17% | — |
| 236d | Poivre | February 28 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,022 | +$750 +19% | 4 |
| 243d |  beenraping | February 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,412 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 244d | th22 fills | February 15 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,180 | +$357 +6.9% | 5 |
| 244d | Downright-Gondola | February 15 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$65 −5.3% | — |
| 244d |  RealityChecker | February 15 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | −$94 −6.2% | — |
| 244d | RealityChecker | February 15 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$44 +2.8% | 5 |
| 247d | Parz1vaI | February 15 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 247d | Downright-Gondola | February 15 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$254 +24% | 7 |
| 247d | Downright-Gondola | February 28 | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | +$1,052 +100% | — |
| 247d | Parz1vaI | February 15 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$500 +25% | 7 |
| 248d |  SusanWarrenHR | February 15 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$563 +39% | 6 |
| 248d | dotheoppositeofme | February 28 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 6 |
| 248d | Parz1vaI | February 28 | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,796 | +$1,796 +100% | — |
| 248d | Parz1vaI | February 28 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,702 | −$1,702 −100% | 6 |
| 248d | fragileshark | February 15 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | +$524 +35% | 6 |
| 249d |  RememberAmalek | February 28 | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$4,229 +324% | 7 |
| 249d |  eCash | February 15 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$1,199 +80% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast's puzzle challenge is solved by February 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statements which explicitly indicate a person or entity has solved the puzzle and won the million-dollar prize will qualify. Any statements indicating the puzzle has been solved but the solver is not eligible for receipt of the prize will not qualify this market for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve exclusively based on statements from MrBeast or his legal or social media representatives. This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying statements from MrBeast.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for February 28 means the market gives it about 0%.