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Polymarket wallet 0x154506893d8ea9bcdf2a875a7a6cfe810e173599 · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 39,965 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $1,259 | −$1,274 −50% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,890 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $1,070 | −$130 −11% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 24,351 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $913 | −$368 −29% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,785 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $265 | −$163 −38% |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,313 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,367 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$267 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,625 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$212 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.