| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 984 | 15¢ → 76¢ | $748 | +$596 +394% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 594 | 15¢ → 78¢ | $462 | +$374 +428% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 257 | 31¢ → 90¢ | $232 | +$151 +187% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | No | 187 | 36¢ → 82¢ | $152 | +$85 +126% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 126 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $115 | +$25 +27% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 151 | 42¢ → 71¢ | $107 | +$45 +71% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 98 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $85 | +$8 +11% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 94 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $83 | +$10 +13% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 85 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $80 | +$6 +7.4% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 83 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $73 | +$11 +17% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 84 | 29¢ → 82¢ | $68 | +$44 +181% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 102 | 22¢ → 66¢ | $67 | +$45 +200% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 65¢ | $65 | −$17 −20% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 194 | 52¢ → 33¢ | $64 | −$37 −36% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 608 | 38¢ → 11¢ | $64 | −$167 −72% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 86 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $62 | +$8 +15% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 65 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $62 | +$7 +12% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 74 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $61 | +$4 +6.1% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 69 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $60 | +$12 +24% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 83 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $59 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 71 | 33¢ → 82¢ | $58 | +$34 +144% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $55 | −$11 −16% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 54 | 54¢ → 98¢ | $53 | +$24 +81% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $49 | +$12 +33% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 62 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $47 | −$5 −9.5% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | No | 79 | 58¢ → 59¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 104 | 56¢ → 45¢ | $46 | −$12 −21% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 119 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $45 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 124 | 57¢ → 34¢ | $42 | −$29 −40% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 170 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $40 | −$6 −13% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 43 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 43 | 37¢ → 88¢ | $37 | +$21 +134% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will ChatGPT Dots be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 38 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $36 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 52¢ → 60¢ | $35 | +$5 +15% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 42 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $35 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 211 | 51¢ → 17¢ | $35 | −$72 −67% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 42 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $34 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 36 | 46¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$17 +105% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 137 | 55¢ → 25¢ | $34 | −$42 −56% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 46 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $33 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 41 | 91¢ → 80¢ | $32 | −$5 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 36 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $32 | +$12 +59% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 39 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $29 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 60¢ | $28 | −$12 −29% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 42 | 85¢ → 67¢ | $28 | −$8 −22% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 31 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $27 | +$7 +36% |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $27 | +$2 +8.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 267 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Ends in 256d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $19 | +$8 +78% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 258 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $18 | −$15 −45% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 79¢ → 35¢ | $18 | −$24 −56% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 7¢ → 49¢ | $18 | +$15 +646% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 88 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $16 | +$3 +25% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 86 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $16 | −$2 −10% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 19 | 40¢ → 84¢ | $16 | +$8 +108% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 49¢ → 25¢ | $16 | −$16 −50% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 73 | 45¢ → 21¢ | $15 | −$18 −55% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 16 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $15 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 23 | 33¢ → 64¢ | $15 | +$7 +91% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 40 | 49¢ → 36¢ | $14 | −$5 −28% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 15 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 18¢ → 54¢ | $13 | +$8 +200% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $12 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 31 | 7¢ → 40¢ | $12 | +$10 +464% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.3% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 50 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $12 | +$2 +14% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 22 | 72¢ → 56¢ | $12 | −$4 −23% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 62 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $11 | +$4 +56% |
| Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Ends in 195d | Yes | 55 | 26¢ → 20¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Ends in 256d | No | 49 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $10 | −$8 −45% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 26 | 54¢ → 41¢ | $10 | −$3 −24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 12 | 61¢ → 82¢ | $10 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 26 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $10 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 75 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $9 | +$3 +41% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.4% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 52 | 44¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$14 −61% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 68 | 3¢ → 13¢ | $9 | +$7 +321% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 14 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $8 | −$2 −18% |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 14 | 64¢ → 58¢ | $8 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 13 | 83¢ → 64¢ | $8 | −$2 −23% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 36 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $8 | −$6 −45% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Ends in 76d | Yes | 238 | 54¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$121 −94% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 210 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 175 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $7 | −$26 −79% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 327 | 47¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$146 −96% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 41 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $7 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 14d | No | 12 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 92 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$9 −57% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 12 | 28¢ → 54¢ | $6 | +$3 +91% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 8 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.6% |
