FishMan2

Polymarket wallet 0x19b911549009c7dc3c49bd252b935a70c5a8d75e · on Polymarket since Jul 29, 2024 · also shown as Brave-Lip

Open on Polymarket ↗

Fishing its my hobby, lake is my home.

Positions now worth: $166
All-time profit: +$1.42K
Volume traded: $442K
All-time rank: #66,547
Markets traded: 181
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

22 markets · $166

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d	Yes	100	88¢ → 91¢	$91	+$3 +2.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	60	94¢ → 97¢	$58	+$2 +3.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	20	93¢ → 89¢	$18	−$1 −4.3%
UK sanctions on Russia by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	86¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	France	90	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$53 −100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	Netherlands	100	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$61 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem	Down	417	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$121 −100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6	84¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	50	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem	No	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	35	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$34 −100%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	273	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$61 −100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	485	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	455	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?Settled - ready to redeem	Down	185	92¢ → 0¢	$0	−$170 −100%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	Côte d'Ivoire	300	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$126 −100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?Settled - ready to redeem	Down	315	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$99 −100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	43¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	88¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	Belgium	30	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
16d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SellNo97¢	$97
19d	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	BuyYes49¢	$100
31d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo86¢	$17
31d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes11¢	$10
32d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	BuyUp44¢	$2
32d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	BuyUp44¢	$6
32d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	BuyUp56¢	$17
32d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes12¢	$10
34d	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SellYes63¢	$257
36d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?	SellUp73¢	$58
37d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?	BuyUp53¢	$42
37d	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$19
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes34¢	$21
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	SellDown96¢	$133
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	BuyDown41¢	$3
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	BuyDown46¢	$35
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	BuyDown46¢	$3
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	BuyDown46¢	$3
43d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?	BuyDown46¢	$20
44d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes51¢	$21
45d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?	BuyUp40¢	$28
45d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?	BuyUp40¢	$4
45d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?	BuyUp56¢	$91
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	SellUp14¢	$43
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	BuyUp47¢	$52
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	BuyUp59¢	$2
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	BuyUp59¢	$10
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	BuyUp59¢	$12
46d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	BuyUp60¢	$101
47d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?	SellUp19¢	$35
48d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?	BuyUp43¢	$34
48d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?	BuyUp59¢	$66
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	SellDown52¢	$13
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	SellDown51¢	$103
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	SellDown58¢	$132
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	BuyDown38¢	$30
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	BuyDown58¢	$107
52d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 26?	BuyDown54¢	$110
54d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	SellDown83¢	$87
54d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	SellDown80¢	$83
54d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	BuyDown66¢	$131
54d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	BuyDown66¢	$7
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	SellDown83¢	$13
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	SellDown83¢	$46
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	SellDown83¢	$32
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	BuyDown34¢	$2
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	BuyDown34¢	$2
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	BuyDown34¢	$3
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	BuyDown34¢	$17
58d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?	BuyDown37¢	$42
59d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?	SellUp90¢	$167
59d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?	SellUp89¢	$56
59d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?	BuyUp41¢	$21
60d	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BuyYes99¢	$20
60d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?	BuyUp55¢	$112
61d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?	BuyDown63¢	$77
64d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?	BuyDown44¢	$90
66d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BuyNo85¢	$34
66d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 12?	BuyUp65¢	$79
70d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SellNo90¢	$36

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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