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Polymarket wallet 0x1ac40f2e793deccc00a8dc088e8f304ef686de57 · on Polymarket since Jun 18, 2025 · also shown as Submissive-Transcript
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $28 | +$8 +39% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 871 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 374 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,386 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,632 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes72¢ | $20 |
| 268d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
| 268d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 476d | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? | BuyYes22¢ | $300 |
| 478d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
| 478d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes27¢ | $100 |
| 479d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyYes57¢ | $500 |
| 480d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15? | SellYes96¢ | $1,281 |
| 484d | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BuyYes29¢ | $21 |
| 484d | Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July? | BuyYes39¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes24¢ | $10 |
| 486d | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BuyNo47¢ | $10 |
| 486d | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes75¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Another Houthi strike on Israel before July? | BuyYes33¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15? | BuyYes39¢ | $1 |
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15? | BuyYes37¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.