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Polymarket wallet 0x3c3fa70e71a7fbad80355b1c7e7eb13e89a0a1bc · on Polymarket since Mar 22, 2026 · also shown as Courageous-Contrast
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$17 +6.1% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 118 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$14 −70% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 280 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$6 −61% |
| Fed abolished before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 227 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$6 −65% |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 170 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$7 −71% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 632 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,345 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$649 −100% |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 315 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.