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Polymarket wallet 0x3e12059124556b159fd5d3ddef08f2ed5fff2a06 · on Polymarket since Jan 23, 2026 · also shown as Gregarious-Supper
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $38 | +$8 +25% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$3 −67% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −76% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.