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Polymarket wallet 0x4a5497ef8c451ff6883ce5d13cc32a2e29c0db64 · on Polymarket since Dec 10, 2025 · also shown as Buoyant-Infarction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 893 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $893 | +$179 +25% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 614 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $585 | +$179 +44% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 543 | 57¢ → 49¢ | $266 | −$43 −14% |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 609 | 80¢ → 29¢ | $174 | −$313 −64% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 106 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $100 | +$8 +8.3% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $69 | +$15 +29% |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 48 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $46 | +$7 +18% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $0 | +$0 +30% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.