FactMechanic

Polymarket wallet 0x70defa6950cb86fa73e49f88375e0f2800e38cf2 · on Polymarket since Jan 26, 2026 · also shown as Rural-Attic

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betmoar-90579

Positions now worth: $23.3
All-time profit: −$2.51K
Volume traded: $678K
All-time rank: #3,135,408
Markets traded: 1,359
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $23.3

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended	Yes	50	61¢ → 47¢	$23	−$7 −24%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
16d	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	SellYes58¢	$29
16d	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	SellNo89¢	$35
16d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	SellNo86¢	$172
16d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SellYes88¢	$44
19d	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	SellYes99¢	$50
79d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?	BuyYes98¢	$98
79d	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	BuyYes69¢	$34
84d	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$4
84d	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$12
84d	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$10
84d	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	SellNo99¢	$50
84d	Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes94¢	$94
97d	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?	BuyYes94¢	$19
97d	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?	BuyYes94¢	$75
97d	Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?	BuyNo97¢	$10
99d	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$29
99d	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$5
99d	UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)	BuyGable Steveson92¢	$64
99d	UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)	BuyGable Steveson92¢	$28
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$89
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$5
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$20
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$4
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$4
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$4
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$4
101d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes75¢	$20
101d	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	SellYes21¢	$5
101d	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	BuyYes91¢	$128
101d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	SellNo99¢	$261
101d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	SellNo99¢	$37
101d	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	SellYes37¢	$9
101d	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	BuyYes61¢	$31
101d	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	BuyYes71¢	$14
101d	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	BuyYes71¢	$21
101d	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$100
102d	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	BuyNo>99¢	$30
102d	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$42
102d	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	SellNo51¢	$5
102d	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes61¢	$31
102d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	BuyNo73¢	$124
102d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	BuyNo73¢	$22
102d	Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?	BuyYes94¢	$8
102d	Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?	BuyYes94¢	$86
103d	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo74¢	$7
103d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes89¢	$178
103d	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	BuyYes93¢	$47
103d	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	BuyNo94¢	$47
103d	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$92
103d	World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	BuyYes95¢	$48
103d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyNo99¢	$6
103d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyNo99¢	$16
103d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyNo99¢	$25
103d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyNo99¢	$19
103d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyNo99¢	$13
103d	Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	BuyUnder94¢	$94
103d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	BuyNo98¢	$83
103d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	BuyNo98¢	$0
103d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	BuyNo98¢	$53
103d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	BuyNo98¢	$29

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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