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Polymarket wallet 0x7b9a5367bed442974b4e4f4610aa869d4d2baf23 · on Polymarket since Feb 6, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $111 | +$91 +455% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $39 | +$5 +16% |
| Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US bank failure by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | BuyNo80¢ | $12 |
| 205d | US bank failure by April 30? | BuyYes26¢ | $15 |
| 215d | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $34 |
| 215d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
| 215d | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BuyDown66¢ | $10 |
| 215d | Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $10 |
| 222d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyNo94¢ | $60 |
| 222d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BuyUp82¢ | $20 |
| 222d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SellYes39¢ | $25 |
| 222d | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | SellYes27¢ | $30 |
| 226d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes34¢ | $22 |
| 253d | Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election? | BuyYes90¢ | $20 |
| 253d | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | BuyYes18¢ | $40 |
| 253d | Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo43¢ | $20 |
| 253d | Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes48¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.