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Polymarket wallet 0x84f915f5666163d7ea70621466d992e2239b54c1 · on Polymarket since Oct 9, 2025 · also shown as Ill-Cold
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 515 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 278 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes3¢ | $25 |
| 312d | Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? | BuyNo4¢ | $20 |
| 333d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18? | BuyNo12¢ | $5 |
| 333d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19? | BuyNo42¢ | $10 |
| 353d | Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30? | BuyNo58¢ | $16 |
| 354d | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BuyNo47¢ | $15 |
| 366d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | BuyYes58¢ | $8 |
| 367d | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | BuyNo72¢ | $20 |
| 367d | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BuyNo81¢ | $20 |
| 367d | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BuyNo76¢ | $20 |
| 367d | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 367d | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 370d | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | BuyNo62¢ | $20 |
| 372d | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.