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Polymarket wallet 0x85a36607f8e8fc3afbb711b7be93a7b338f26216 · on Polymarket since Jul 27, 2024 · also shown as Well-Worn-Providence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,038 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 668 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Scotland win?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 611 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | Will Scotland win? | BuyNo82¢ | $500 |
| 245d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo96¢ | $1,000 |
| 256d | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes75¢ | $500 |
| 260d | Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January? | BuyNo97¢ | $2,010 |
| 273d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $100 |
| 273d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 273d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1,669 |
| 273d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $1,000 |
| 281d | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $10,000 |
| 281d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $500 |
| 281d | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $10,000 |
| 285d | Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,000 |
| 305d | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,011 |
| 306d | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15? | BuyNo99¢ | $18 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.