Morholt

Polymarket wallet 0x88c984fd5dc7e16397dbbcb9eb575bf7e8f27e55 · on Polymarket since Mar 14, 2026 · also shown as Impartial-Rhetoric

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1.72K
All-time profit: −$8.79K
Volume traded: $162K
All-time rank: #3,184,510
Markets traded: 52
Recent hit rate: 35%8 of last 23 closed

Open positions

22 markets · $1.72K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	426	76¢ → 73¢	$309	−$16 −4.9%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d	Yes	1,030	31¢ → 25¢	$252	−$68 −21%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d	No	661	35¢ → 38¢	$248	+$17 +7.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	Yes	1,554	19¢ → 15¢	$228	−$72 −24%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d	No	263	38¢ → 53¢	$139	+$39 +39%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	500	20¢ → 25¢	$123	+$23 +23%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	359	27¢ → 27¢	$95	−$2 −1.9%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d	Yes	6,676	0¢ → 1¢	$83	+$83 +0.0%
US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,832	5¢ → 4¢	$72	−$28 −28%
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	510	20¢ → 14¢	$71	−$29 −29%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	469	21¢ → 13¢	$59	−$41 −41%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	533	18¢ → 8¢	$40	−$56 −58%
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	217	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,143	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	35,150	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$316 −100%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	526	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	313	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	137	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,944	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	263	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6,884	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	313	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
6d	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	BuyNo76¢	$325
6d	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$100
16d	Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger AND Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto AND Curitiba: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel AND Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Harold Mayot vs Tristan Schoolkate	Buy22¢	$60
16d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	BuyNo38¢	$100
16d	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes21¢	$100
25d	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	BuyNo35¢	$237
25d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SellYes4¢	$236
55d	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	BuyYes18¢	$96
55d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	BuyYes20¢	$103
55d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo68¢	$290
71d	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyYes2¢	$153
71d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BuyYes13¢	$100
71d	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SellYes11¢	$253
76d	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes27¢	$97
76d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	BuyUp18¢	$21
76d	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	BuyYes19¢	$100
76d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	BuyNo32¢	$100
76d	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BuyNo45¢	$300
76d	Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	BuyYes3¢	$100
76d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	SellYes95¢	$718
77d	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	BuyYes65¢	$317
77d	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes31¢	$320
77d	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BuyYes19¢	$310
77d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$250
77d	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyYes12¢	$311
77d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	BuyYes66¢	$500
77d	Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$100
77d	US military draft authorized in 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$100
77d	Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlin AND Canadian Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha AND Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquet	Buy43¢	$100
77d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	SellNo47¢	$91
84d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	BuyNo49¢	$96
84d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	SellYes5¢	$86
91d	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	BuyNo88¢	$1,950
91d	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: Team to Win	Buy28¢	$150
91d	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes40¢	$2,099
101d	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	BuyYes34¢	$589
101d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes33¢	$488
101d	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BuyYes23¢	$51
105d	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	BuyYes21¢	$33
105d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes37¢	$581
111d	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	BuyYes19¢	$51
111d	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	BuyYes16¢	$51
111d	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes5¢	$133
123d	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes1¢	$68
123d	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes10¢	$205
123d	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes6¢	$154
123d	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes11¢	$308
124d	Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Buy15¢	$103
124d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	SellNo5¢	$544
124d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SellYes11¢	$295
125d	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	BuyYes48¢	$67
125d	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Buy19¢	$51
125d	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Buy10¢	$103
131d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo86¢	$3,099
138d	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes9¢	$308
138d	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes1¢	$257
138d	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes6¢	$257
145d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BuyNo65¢	$2,510
177d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo51¢	$3,687
181d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	BuyNo81¢	$2,986

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 23 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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