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Polymarket wallet 0x950ea3d54a52dca7ec54e7a0338812450268f8e5 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as Kosher-Machinery
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400,000 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $62,000 | −$55,358 −47% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $1,500 | −$3,700 −71% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,762 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $1,119 | −$881 −44% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,019 | 25¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$968 −97% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,007 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $25 | −$968 −97% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,507 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,675 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,686,667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20,760 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,600 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,125,001 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21,978 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.