| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 33 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $26 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $25 | −$2 −8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.4% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 83¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$3 −19% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 16 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $13 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $13 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$2 −15% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 28 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$2 −13% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 58¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.9% |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award?Ends in 256d | Yes | 40 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$8 −41% |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$2 −18% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$1 −10% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 15 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.2% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 25d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17 | 75¢ → 45¢ | $7 | −$5 −40% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 9 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
| Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 65¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$19 −73% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$3 −27% |
| Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $6 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $6 | −$1 −18% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$1 −23% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$2 −27% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$5 −52% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 34 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$13 −78% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −27% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$1 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 60¢ → 31¢ | $3 | −$3 −49% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $3 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 24% to 28%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$2 −46% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 24¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$2 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$28 −92% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 9 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$1 +40% |
| Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?Ends in 267d | Yes | 5 | 58¢ → 41¢ | $2 | −$1 −30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $2 | −$1 −27% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$1 −37% |
| Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 62¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?Ends in 267d | Yes | 4 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Ends in 256d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −33% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 10 | 36¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 29¢ → 22¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will Chronicle play for Team Vitality in 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 38¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$10 −92% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 54¢ → 57¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$1 −45% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1 | 38¢ → 30¢ | $0 | −$0 −22% |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 41 | 19¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Split be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 31d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US bank failure by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| "The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Settled - ready to redeem | ETH | 42 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Trump Media buy Solana in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| X Money launch in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Rental Family be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
