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Polymarket wallet 0xaba43f8448aacfa01d91877884ace42d08f5801b · on Polymarket since Mar 10, 2026 · also shown as Roasted-Bulldozer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 115 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $113 | +$17 +18% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 62 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $48 | −$3 −5.0% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 86¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$5 −26% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Cerezo Osaka win on 2026-07-29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 468 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$401 −100% |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 566 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$231 −100% |
| LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Celtic FC | 10 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BuyNo90¢ | $4 |
| 9h | Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-10-22? AND Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20? AND Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | Buy74¢ | $15 |
| 2d | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 4d | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SellYes21¢ | $9 |
| 5d | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BuyYes24¢ | $11 |
| 5d | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | SellYes26¢ | $26 |
| 5d | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BuyYes86¢ | $17 |
| 5d | Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? AND Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? AND Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-10-15? AND Will Páfos FC win on 2026-10-15? AND Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-10-15? AND Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13? AND Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14? | Buy49¢ | $10 |
| 11d | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $22 |
| 12d | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 12d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes81¢ | $15 |
| 12d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes81¢ | $14 |
| 12d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes81¢ | $21 |
| 12d | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BuyYes76¢ | $11 |
| 12d | Will San Marino win on 2026-10-03? AND Will India win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | Sell94¢ | $11 |
| 13d | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BuyYes89¢ | $91 |
| 13d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SellYes81¢ | $88 |
| 15d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BuyYes98¢ | $65 |
| 16d | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BuyYes58¢ | $15 |
| 16d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BuyYes98¢ | $42 |
| 16d | Will San Marino win on 2026-10-03? AND Will India win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | Buy83¢ | $10 |
| 16d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $123 |
| 20d | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? AND Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28? | Buy86¢ | $7 |
| 23d | Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Wales win on 2026-09-24? AND Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-26? | Buy83¢ | $10 |
| 25d | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BuyYes90¢ | $12 |
| 25d | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BuyYes90¢ | $9 |
| 25d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $38 |
| 26d | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ | $41 |
| 26d | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SellYes>99¢ | $25 |
| 27d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SellYes>99¢ | $30 |
| 27d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BuyYes80¢ | $8 |
| 27d | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $32 |
| 27d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $38 |
| 27d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BuyYes53¢ | $11 |
| 27d | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BuyYes87¢ | $22 |
| 30d | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SellYes94¢ | $102 |
| 31d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $11 |
| 31d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $9 |
| 33d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BuyNo91¢ | $32 |
| 33d | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ | $17 |
| 33d | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BuyNo87¢ | $9 |
| 33d | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | SellYes37¢ | $19 |
| 33d | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will NK Celje win on 2026-09-16? | Buy88¢ | $14 |
| 36d | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $12 |
| 37d | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10? AND Will Erzurumspor FK win on 2026-09-11? | Buy85¢ | $13 |
| 42d | Will CD Nacional win on 2026-09-04? AND Will HNK Gorica win on 2026-09-05? AND Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? AND Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09? | Buy75¢ | $20 |
| 44d | Will CD Nacional win on 2026-09-04? AND Will HNK Gorica win on 2026-09-05? AND Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? AND Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? | Buy68¢ | $11 |
| 45d | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SellYes>99¢ | $30 |
| 47d | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31? AND Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31? AND Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? | Buy56¢ | $26 |
| 52d | FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF: Team to Advance AND FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Team to Advance AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? AND Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27? AND Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27? | Buy62¢ | $30 |
| 52d | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SellYes96¢ | $31 |
| 53d | LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advance | BuyCeltic FC90¢ | $9 |
| 54d | FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Team to Advance AND LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advance AND Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Team to Advance AND FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF: Team to Advance AND FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Team to Advance AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28? AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? AND Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27? AND Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27? | Buy51¢ | $41 |
| 58d | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BuyYes96¢ | $45 |
| 58d | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BuyYes96¢ | $13 |
| 58d | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BuyYes96¢ | $2 |
| 60d | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19? | Buy68¢ | $13 |
| 60d | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | SellYes>99¢ | $73 |
| 60d | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19? | Buy68¢ | $10 |
| 60d | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19? | Buy68¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.