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Polymarket wallet 0xc80b1fba7218b6a9be12f86dc888bf1ca5bd112b · on Polymarket since Apr 16, 2025 · also shown as Bleak-Dead
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 66 | 61¢ → 16¢ | $10 | −$30 −75% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 402 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 722 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals before May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 201 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,195 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,032 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.