ikoiw

Polymarket wallet 0xdfcbf477c70b50af7ccf146420daf12ddf116208 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2025 · also shown as Flawed-Collectivization

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: +$3.18K
Volume traded: $93.8K
All-time rank: #36,393
Markets traded: 353
Recent hit rate: 94%47 of last 50 closed

Open positions

90 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	761	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$418 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	234	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$160 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	42	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	115	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$63 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	809	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$426 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	37	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	173	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	576	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	61	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	56	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	581	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	558	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	27	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	79	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	41	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	103	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	53	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	182	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	51	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	88	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	38	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	179	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	79	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	238	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	134	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	57	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	101	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	638	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$368 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	125	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$65 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	218	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	96	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	96	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$28 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	119	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$61 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	48	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	57	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	25	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	78	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	65	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	161	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$88 −100%
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	56	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	49	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	29	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	122	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	4	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	117	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$62 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	116	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	98	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	135	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	61	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3	96¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	21	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	96	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	75	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$40 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	59	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	61	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	30	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	705	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$501 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	81	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$41 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	97	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	6	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	58	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	64	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	61	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	118	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	12	51¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	55	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,296	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$700 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	321	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorSettled - ready to redeem	Tate	2	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
44d	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SellNo99¢	$1
44d	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$3
44d	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	SellNo98¢	$4
122d	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	BuyNo95¢	$5
126d	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	BuyYes94¢	$3
139d	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?	BuyYes92¢	$5
139d	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	SellNo89¢	$4
140d	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	BuyNo93¢	$4
142d	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	BuyNo96¢	$1
142d	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	BuyYes96¢	$1
147d	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?	BuyYes91¢	$1
153d	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	BuyYes98¢	$1
153d	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?	BuyNo98¢	$1
179d	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	BuyYes99¢	$1
182d	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$2
189d	Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	BuyYes95¢	$2
190d	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$1
191d	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	BuyNo96¢	$2
191d	GTA VI released before June 2026?	SellNo98¢	$5
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	SellUp1¢	$6
191d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BuyUp55¢	$359
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp52¢	$5
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	BuyUp63¢	$10
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BuyUp67¢	$240
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	BuyUp59¢	$10
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$50
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown40¢	$10
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown81¢	$10
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown71¢	$10
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown63¢	$50
193d	Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$30
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	BuyDown89¢	$10
194d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	BuyDown57¢	$40
198d	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp58¢	$152
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyUp55¢	$20
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp51¢	$10
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp63¢	$5
199d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyUp76¢	$10
201d	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
201d	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	BuyYes93¢	$1
205d	Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$3
206d	Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?	BuyNo99¢	$3
210d	Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo>99¢	$2
210d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown87¢	$1
212d	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	BuyYes7¢	$2
212d	Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$5
212d	Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$5
214d	Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?	BuyYes99¢	$1
214d	Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.25B and $4.50B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo99¢	$1
214d	GTA VI released before June 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$5
219d	Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BuyNo98¢	$2
219d	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo>99¢	$5
224d	Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$1
224d	Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BuyNo95¢	$2
226d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown99¢	$5
226d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown98¢	$10
226d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown95¢	$5
226d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown97¢	$10
226d	Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BuyNo98¢	$2
226d	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?	BuyNo96¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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