BairdMelville

Polymarket wallet 0xf09f86f0eda331add35d805b0117aea5aa6540ae · on Polymarket since Oct 17, 2025 · also shown as Smoggy-Shofar

Open on Polymarket ↗@AndiRoss180867 ↗

Positions now worth: $4.2
All-time profit: +$372
Volume traded: $87K
All-time rank: #129,952
Markets traded: 167
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

69 markets · $4.2

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	94¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +5.9%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	95¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +5.3%
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	>99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d	No	1	99¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +0.1%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 75d	Yes	1	97¢ → 8¢	$0	−$1 −92%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	410	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$205 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$700 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	420	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$210 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$650 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	700	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	410	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$205 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	450	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$225 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$700 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,100	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$550 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	700	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	900	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$450 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	420	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$210 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$800 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	410	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$205 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	410	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$205 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	51	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
264d	Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
269d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$1
275d	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BuyNo94¢	$1
284d	Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?	BuyYes96¢	$1
309d	Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	BuyYes99¢	$1
311d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
312d	HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?	BuyYes99¢	$1
312d	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo95¢	$1
313d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?	BuyNo100¢	$1
316d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?	BuyYes98¢	$1
317d	Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?	BuyNo98¢	$1
317d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
318d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
319d	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
320d	Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
322d	Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BuyNo95¢	$1
323d	Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BuyYes97¢	$1
325d	US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?	BuyNo99¢	$1
325d	Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	BuyNo97¢	$1
326d	Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$1
328d	Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?	BuyNo96¢	$1
330d	Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	BuyNo97¢	$1
333d	Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	BuyNo96¢	$1
334d	Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$1
334d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BuyNo98¢	$1
338d	Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BuyYes96¢	$1
338d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyNo95¢	$1
339d	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	BuyYes95¢	$1
340d	Will Aave win 2025 Uniswap Cup?	BuyNo95¢	$1
341d	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$1
343d	US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?	BuyNo95¢	$1
345d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$1
345d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BuyNo95¢	$1
346d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BuyYes97¢	$1
347d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BuyYes98¢	$1
353d	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	BuyNo99¢	$1
354d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo96¢	$1
354d	US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	BuyNo95¢	$1
363d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$600
363d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$1,000
363d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$350
363d	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
363d	Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?	BuyNo96¢	$1
363d	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$1
363d	US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$1
363d	Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
363d	Dave Portnoy in jail in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
363d	ETH flipped in 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$1
363d	Bybit insolvent in 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$1
363d	Tether insolvent in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
363d	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	BuyNo96¢	$1
363d	US national XRP reserve in 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$1
363d	Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	BuyNo97¢	$1
363d	Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BuyYes96¢	$1
363d	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyYes97¢	$1
363d	Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
363d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on October 19?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
363d	Will Solana reach $350 in October?	BuyNo99¢	$1
363d	Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	BuyNo98¢	$1
363d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 19?	BuyYes>99¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.