| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 50 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $28 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Bryce Young have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 50 | 63¢ → 46¢ | $23 | −$9 −28% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 74¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$9 −29% |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Ends in 17d | Minnesota | 40 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $20 | −$7 −25% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | No | 50 | 49¢ → 41¢ | $20 | −$4 −16% |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 239d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 48¢ | $19 | −$5 −21% |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 40 | 51¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$5 −23% |
| Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?Ends in 20d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 52¢ → 38¢ | $15 | −$6 −28% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 35 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Chase Meidroth win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 35¢ | $14 | −$17 −55% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 84d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 30 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio <86%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 62¢ | $12 | −$3 −22% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 275M?Ends in 18d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 57¢ | $12 | −$4 −23% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Union Berlin be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 53¢ | $11 | −$2 −18% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$4 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$2 −17% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 53¢ | $10 | −$3 −20% |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$4 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $10 | −$4 −27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $10 | −$4 −30% |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?Ends in 256d | Yes | 14 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$5 −33% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$4 −32% |
| Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$4 −30% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$3 −23% |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$11 −54% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$3 −26% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Ends in 61d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 45¢ | $9 | −$5 −36% |
| Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 43¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 20 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Backrooms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 43¢ | $9 | −$6 −42% |
| Will Lamar Jackson have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$3 −25% |
| Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 239d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $20.5B by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$6 −40% |
| Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Braga finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 105d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$5 −37% |
| Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Drake London have 1,349.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$3 −27% |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 3,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Universitatea Craiova finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Ends in 105d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$7 −47% |
| Will Hungary be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?Ends in 178d | No | 20 | 63¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$5 −37% |
| Will Rashee Rice have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 40 | 54¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$14 −64% |
| Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?Ends in 326d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 19¢ | $8 | −$7 −48% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?Ends in 21d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 39¢ | $8 | −$4 −31% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$3 −28% |
| Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Manuel Neuer retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 38¢ | $8 | −$4 −35% |
| Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$4 −35% |
| Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$6 −46% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 62¢ → 41¢ | $7 | −$4 −35% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 20 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$2 −17% |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$1 −14% |
| Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$3 −32% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%?Ends in 31d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$6 −48% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Paxton | 50 | 33¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$10 −59% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?Ends in 74d | Yes | 15 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$6 −49% |
| Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $135.5?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 49¢ → 33¢ | $6 | −$3 −34% |
| Will Eyüpspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$8 −58% |
| Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 111d | No | 20 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$1 −18% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$3 −29% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 7 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 40 | 40¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$10 −65% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$8 −59% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 20 | 70¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$9 −61% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$9 −64% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$7 −58% |
| Will Kaitlyn Christian qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 204d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$7 −59% |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$4 −48% |
| Will 1. FC Köln be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Ends in 256d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Alex Ovechkin record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 194d | Yes | 20 | 71¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$10 −68% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 10 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 239d | No | 20 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 45¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$5 −53% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | Hike 25 bps | 50 | 30¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$11 −73% |
| Will James Cook have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$10 −72% |
| Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?Ends in 164d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$13 −77% |
| Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 9?Ends in 23d | Yes | 20 | 77¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$12 −75% |
| Will a transfer restriction on Manchester City be applied by the 2027 summer transfer window?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$5 −57% |
| Will the San Jose Sharks record 80+ points?Ends in 194d | No | 20 | 45¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$5 −59% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 39 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$7 −66% |
| Will Rachel Rohrabacher qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 204d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$14 −79% |
| Will the Utah Mammoth record 90+ points?Ends in 194d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$4 −51% |
| Will Sam Darnold have 3,199.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | No | 20 | 41¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$5 −55% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$7 −64% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 48¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$6 −61% |
