Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · CultureClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31, 2026 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30, 2026 | 100% | +52 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31, 2026 | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d |  vinii2 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d |  aaa6 | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,175 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | aaa6 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,002 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d |  scottilicious2 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,392 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Trustinghorse3 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,019 | +$153 +3.0% | 20 |
| 237d | ddolsw123r | June 30, 2026 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  Car | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,573 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d |  TAMALIE | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,090 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d |  zhupercyclist | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,009 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 237d |  aenews22 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,296 | +$35 +1.1% | 20 |
| 237d |  GollumGekko | December 31, 2026 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$36 −1.5% | — |
| 237d | aenews22 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,588 | +$76 +1.7% | 20 |
| 237d |  goalone | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 237d |  Infringe4 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,514 | +$38 +0.5% | 20 |
| 237d | Nutty-Shopping | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 237d | Trustinghorse | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,823 | +$318 +11% | 20 |
| 237d | Logan. | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$123 +12% | 20 |
| 237d | scottilicious4 fills | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $9,073 | +$3,251 +36% | 20 |
| 237d | scottilicious4 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $7,650 | +$1,404 +18% | 20 |
| 238d | Worse-Honor | December 31, 2026 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$786 −64% | — |
| 238d | Car | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$770 +54% | 20 |
| 239d | GollumGekko | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$2,641 +194% | 21 |
| 248d | Merry-Volleyball3 fills | June 30, 2026 | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $11,983 | −$16,548 −138% | — |
| 248d | Jumpy-Sustainment | June 30, 2026 | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $9,390 | +$9,390 +100% | — |
| 248d | Jumpy-Sustainment | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $9,554 | −$9,554 −100% | 20 |
| 248d | Nimble-Command | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $7,466 | −$7,466 −100% | 20 |
| 248d | Different-General | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $9,082 | −$9,082 −100% | 20 |
| 250d |  coleybetsmer | December 31, 2026 | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$1,326 −119% | — |
| 252d |  AurelusM | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,328 | −$1,328 −100% | 20 |
| 253d | duichongtaoli | June 30, 2026 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,593 | −$3,757 −82% | — |
| 253d | fepkdc | June 30, 2026 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | −$4,005 −82% | — |
| 253d | meidsha | June 30, 2026 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,070 | −$3,330 −82% | — |
| 253d | maybe1 | June 30, 2026 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,373 | −$3,577 −82% | — |
| 253d | fepkdc | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $5,073 | +$3,827 +75% | 20 |
| 253d | maybe1 | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $4,532 | +$3,419 +75% | 20 |
| 253d | duichongtaoli | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $4,760 | +$3,591 +75% | 20 |
| 253d | meidsha | June 30, 2026 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $4,218 | +$3,182 +75% | 20 |
| 255d |  chefepanda | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 21 |
| 256d | Hoth74 | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 21 |
| 256d |  MEPP | June 30, 2026 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,760 | −$1,760 −100% | 21 |
| 258d |  Qualitative2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,047 | +$463 +11% | 20 |
| 259d | nonkenny90 | January 31, 2026 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,699 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 259d | Qualitative | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 20 |
| 259d |  ProfessionalPunter2 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,208 | +$1,978 +38% | 20 |
| 260d | noyeswherehow | December 31, 2026 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$427 −33% | — |
| 260d | yishidishangs | December 31, 2026 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | −$918 −33% | — |
| 260d | modeyeione | December 31, 2026 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | −$875 −33% | — |
| 260d | yesorno2 | December 31, 2026 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | −$744 −33% | — |
| 260d | dube2 fills | January 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,304 | −$109 −2.5% | — |
| 261d | yesorno2 | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$750 +33% | 24 |
| 261d | modeyeione | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$879 +33% | 24 |
| 261d | 5551ab | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,349 | +$120 +1.6% | 20 |
| 261d | drborrowedtime | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 26 |
| 261d |  ImJustKen | January 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | −$22 −1.6% | — |
| 264d |  Tejeru | January 31, 2026 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | −$44 −2.2% | — |
| 264d |  PaddyAlpha | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$33 +3.1% | 20 |
| 264d | Tejeru | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$75 +3.8% | 20 |
| 265d |  Dapsy | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$59 +4.2% | 20 |
| 265d | third-eye | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$59 +4.2% | 20 |
| 265d |  Gr33d4 fills | January 31, 2026 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $7,404 | +$3,964 +54% | 20 |
eightpenguins25,804 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with any alleged fake daycare facility in Minnesota, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for January 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 0%.