| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,379 | 20¢ → 87¢ | $1,193 | +$917 +333% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 779 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $588 | +$22 +3.8% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 123 | 17¢ → 80¢ | $98 | +$78 +377% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 116 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $96 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 367 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $90 | −$2 −2.0% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | No | 71 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $65 | +$8 +14% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 64 | 9¢ → 90¢ | $58 | +$52 +893% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $54 | +$5 +9.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 53 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $53 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or higher on October 17?Ends ended | No | 53 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 53 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 102 | 3¢ → 48¢ | $49 | +$46 +1563% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 55 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 53 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $44 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 39 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 53 | 50¢ → 73¢ | $39 | +$12 +45% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 46 | 11¢ → 69¢ | $31 | +$26 +517% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 52 | 67¢ → 51¢ | $27 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 32 | 73¢ → 56¢ | $18 | −$5 −23% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $18 | −$2 −11% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 19 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $16 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 13 | >99¢ → 97¢ | $13 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.3% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 68 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $12 | +$3 +38% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 56 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $11 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 72 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $10 | +$2 +21% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $8 | +$1 +22% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$4 +96% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 25 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $8 | −$1 −15% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 39 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $6 | −$1 −19% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 22 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $5 | +$1 +29% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends in 2d | No | 6 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 74¢ | $4 | +$1 +31% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 28 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 3 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 3 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 4,380 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$1 +158% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$1 +134% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 3 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 65 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$4 −71% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 2 | 94¢ → 86¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 46¢ → 56¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 63 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$5 −77% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +530% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 3 | 51¢ → 45¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 63 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$6 −83% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Ends in 8d | No | 44 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +48% |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 20¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$2 −72% |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −70% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −49% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −51% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −46% |
| Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 584 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$22 −99% |
| Will Isael Munduruku win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 584 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$22 −99% |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 584 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$22 −99% |
| Will Gilberto Vasconcelos win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 584 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$22 −99% |
| Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 584 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$22 −99% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 545 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 101 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$20 −99% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 151 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −95% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 338 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 284 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 284 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 284 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 284 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 264 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 263 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 263 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 263 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 32 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 254 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 233 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −98% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 85% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $0 | +$0 +121% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 196 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −98% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 196 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −98% |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +70% |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 11 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 109 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 109 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 109 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −99% |
| Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 12 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −86% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −99% |
