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Polymarket wallet 0x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a · on Polymarket since Feb 25, 2025 · also shown as Warm-Secretary
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 1,636 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $1,530 | +$123 +8.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,348 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $1,139 | +$98 +9.5% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,194 | 43¢ → 78¢ | $933 | +$426 +84% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 266 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $258 | +$28 +12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,249 | 79¢ → 12¢ | $144 | −$846 −85% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $100 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 549 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $63 | −$38 −38% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,110 | 47¢ → 5¢ | $61 | −$466 −89% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 238 | 90¢ → 12¢ | $27 | −$186 −87% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 296 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$13 −64% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.