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Polymarket wallet 0x50dad85fd5ac6073f5f9173cacf2d09e8d4d9ce6 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Criminal-Reasoning
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $7 | −$3 −32% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,035 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 20-26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,308 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 29 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.