| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1,129 | 45¢ → 38¢ | $429 | −$77 −15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 21h | Yes | 369 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $363 | +$22 +6.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 162 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $140 | +$20 +17% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 169 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $115 | +$5 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 129 | 63¢ → 82¢ | $105 | +$24 +29% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 84d | No | 138 | 65¢ → 49¢ | $67 | −$23 −25% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 221 | 37¢ → 30¢ | $66 | −$16 −19% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?Ends ended | No | 66 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $64 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 70 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $58 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$10 +27% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 40 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$8 +29% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 255 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $32 | −$50 −61% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 21 | 52¢ → 87¢ | $18 | +$7 +68% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 337 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $16 | −$6 −29% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 17 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $13 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 110 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $9 | −$20 −70% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 176 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$20 −78% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 150 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$18 −78% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$61 −93% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 99 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$12 −87% |
| Will the NYT front page headlines say "Beijing" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 496 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 513 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$263 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 101 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 270 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 181 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 203 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 6 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 415 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 458 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 144 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 220 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 6 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 268 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$137 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 966 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 258 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,812 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$243 −100% |
| Will the NYT front page headlines say "Putin" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 76 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 610 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 918 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 79 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 234 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 500 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 400 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 970 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 28 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 439 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$161 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 394 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 207 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 342 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$288 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| France vs. England: O/U 8.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 220 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$142 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 274 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 280 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$92 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 824 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 200 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 675 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 7 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 240 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 481 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$216 −100% |
| United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 190 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 648 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$433 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 100 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,046 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$287 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 6 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 404 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 397 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 520 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 380 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 505 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
