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Polymarket wallet 0x7a8dd767ecaa4c525afd4ee78153680d3ff9262f · on Polymarket since Aug 17, 2024 · also shown as Graceful-Trigger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 336 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $295 | +$30 +11% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 82¢ → 69¢ | $42 | −$8 −16% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 27 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.