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Polymarket wallet 0x7f8d28bf8f6eb36b71c8d2b4406e21e876cee200 · on Polymarket since Aug 16, 2025 · also shown as Misguided-Individual
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$213 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 170 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,200 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,231 −100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.