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Polymarket wallet 0x7fb227ff98dc57a7654b33b20c7ef1764eafcb9a · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2024 · also shown as Harmful-Umbrella

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.2K
All-time profit: +$294
Volume traded: $39.1K
All-time rank: #144,241
Markets traded: 72
Recent hit rate: 89%40 of last 45 closed

Open positions

27 markets · $2.2K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	2,294	22¢ → 16¢	$356	−$144 −29%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,955	26¢ → 18¢	$342	−$158 −32%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	238	84¢ → 97¢	$231	+$31 +16%
Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	238	84¢ → 96¢	$229	+$29 +14%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	222	45¢ → 89¢	$197	+$97 +97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	184	54¢ → 87¢	$160	+$60 +60%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	2,500	6¢ → 5¢	$126	−$24 −16%
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?Ends in 134d	No	116	86¢ → 93¢	$108	+$8 +7.7%
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	109	92¢ → 99¢	$107	+$7 +7.5%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,211	10¢ → 8¢	$97	−$29 −23%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	667	15¢ → 13¢	$83	−$17 −17%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d	Yes	137	33¢ → 48¢	$66	+$21 +46%
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	563	18¢ → 9¢	$51	−$49 −49%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	335	30¢ → 11¢	$35	−$65 −65%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	100	41¢ → 14¢	$15	−$27 −65%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem	No	519	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	208	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	547	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	758	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	No	588	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	589	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	462	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,455	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	365	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$68 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
5h	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BuyYes17¢	$100
16d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	BuyYes33¢	$46
16d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	BuyYes54¢	$102
16d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	BuyYes85¢	$201
35d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?	BuyNo75¢	$100
35d	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	BuyNo17¢	$104
35d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes20¢	$104
59d	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$105
60d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BuyYes24¢	$100
67d	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo79¢	$100
67d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BuyNo95¢	$100
67d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	BuyNo76¢	$100
67d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	BuyNo86¢	$100
75d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BuyYes17¢	$103
75d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	BuyYes39¢	$102
76d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	BuyYes13¢	$103
77d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	BuyYes63¢	$101
78d	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	BuyNo48¢	$103
79d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyYes15¢	$103
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	BuyYes22¢	$103
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	BuyYes48¢	$102
81d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	BuyYes69¢	$202
82d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo45¢	$100
82d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BuyNo74¢	$100
83d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo62¢	$102
84d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BuyNo69¢	$100
84d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$100
84d	Iran leadership change by July 31?	BuyNo98¢	$100
85d	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	BuyYes76¢	$100
85d	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	BuyYes81¢	$100
85d	US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$100
85d	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyYes6¢	$104
85d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?	BuyNo94¢	$100
86d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BuyYes36¢	$100
86d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	BuyYes25¢	$100
86d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	BuyYes27¢	$100
86d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo80¢	$101
87d	Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$103
87d	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	BuyYes30¢	$103
87d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	BuyYes23¢	$100
88d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	BuyNo43¢	$102
88d	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BuyYes6¢	$52
88d	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?	BuyYes71¢	$100
94d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	BuyYes16¢	$200
95d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BuyYes20¢	$200
95d	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$200
95d	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$100
95d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo97¢	$100
95d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BuyYes20¢	$200
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	SellYes68¢	$134
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	SellYes35¢	$188
96d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	SellYes78¢	$232
102d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	BuyYes7¢	$104
102d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	BuyYes18¢	$207
102d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	BuyYes35¢	$205
111d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	BuyYes65¢	$25
111d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	BuyYes65¢	$40
111d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	BuyYes65¢	$66
111d	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BuyYes53¢	$54
111d	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	BuyYes92¢	$184

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 45 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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